Political Research and Forecasting

Three general approaches to election forecasting have been used in the past. Forecasters have drawn on historical observation, opinion polls ( past and present ), and prediction markets.

In this recording from 2020, Tom Miller compares approaches to election forecasting:

With prediction surveys in 2021, The Virtual Tout® introduced a new approach to election forecasting.

In the future, we may see information about political contributions employed in predicting election outcomes.

Go to the home page of The Virtual Tout.

Click on items below to learn more about election forecasting methods. #