In the Media ·

Business Insider, November 9, 2024. Betting markets nailed Trump’s decisive win—and it’s a good reminder they can be more accurate than polls by Kelly Cloonan.
Fortune, November 5, 2024. Top data scientist: Betting markets think Trump is winning, but Harris voters have reasons to remain hopeful by Shawn Tully.
The Roy Green Show, November 2, 2024. The question of who is leading the US presidential race is found in the election betting markets.
Fortune, November 2, 2024. ‘October surprise’: Trump just blew a huge lead, and the Madison Square Garden rally started the drop, says top data scientist by Shawn Tully.
November 1, news posting provides information about a Northwestern University thought leadership panel about the 2024 election. Prediction markets was one of the topics covered.
Newsweek, October 30, 2024. Donald Trump Now Set for Landslide: Forecaster Who Backed Kamala Harris by Theo Burman.
Fortune, October 29, 2024. Who is winning the election? Top data scientist launches electoral vote counter that shows the race moving in real time by Shawn Tully. Describes The Virtual Tout® web app that provides up-to-the-minute forecasts, available on TinyTicker™.
Fortune, October 29, 2024. ‘Fundamental’ analysis says Harris should win, but the ’technicals’ show a big lead for Trump, say two leading election watchers by Shawn Tully.

Fortune, October 24, 2024. Prominent data scientist on latest election odds: Trump leads, but Harris is gaining by Shawn Tully.
Evanston RoundTable, October 22, 2024. NU Professor’s Website Predicts Results of Electoral College by Wendi Kromash.
The New York Times, October 15/16, 2024. Prediction Markets Tell a Different Story from the Polls. The Dealbook Newsletter staff cited and our work with prediction markets, providing a link to The Virtual Tout®. The article mistakenly characterized our analysis as showing “a landslide victory for Trump.” We had forecasted 295 and 290 Republican electoral votes on October 15 and 16, respectively.
SCRIPPS NEWS, October 15, 2024. Chance Seales of SCRIPPS NEWS interviews Tom Miller about prediction markets and methods for forecasting election outcomes. The interview took place October 15, 2024, twenty days ahead of the November 5 election.

Hamodia, October 15, 2024. Polls Apart Interview of Tom Miller by Reuvian Borchardt. Download the article.
Le Point, October 11, 2024. American presidential election: Can we trust the polls this time? by Philippe Berry.
Independent, October 10, 2024. Top election data analyst says Trump’s odds of winning have suddenly surged - but can’t explain why.
Fortune, October 10, 2024. Trump’s odds have surged over the past week and he now holds a 2-vote electoral college lead, says prominent data scientist by Shawn Tully.

Fortune, October 3, 2024. Harris holds a 66-electoral-vote lead over Trump, calculates prominent data scientist by Shawn Tully.
NewsNation, Morning in America, September 23, 2024. Harris-Walz ticket has advantage in 2024 election. Thomas Miller, the faculty director for the data science program at Northwestern University, discusses how an election poll differs from a forecasting model. Miller also defends why he believes the Harris-Walz ticket has the advantage in the 2024 election.

Fortune, September 22, 2024. Data scientist nails the Trump gaffe that started what looks today like a building Harris landslide by Shawn Tully.
Newsweek, September 18, 2024. Data Scientist’s Betting-Odds Model Predicts Kamala Harris Landslide by Marni Rose McFall.
Fortune, September 18, 2024. Could there be a Kamala Harris landslide in November? The data scientist who correctly called the last election is betting yes by Shawn Tully.

Tom Miller of The Virtual Tout® was also featured in reports about elections in 2020 and 2021, as shown In the Media from 2020 and 2021.

Go to the home page of The Virtual Tout.