In the Media from 2020 and 2021 ·

BBC Digital Planet Interview (October 9, 2020) #

About a month before the presidential election, Tom Miller was interviewed for Digital Planet, BBC World Service. Tom described election forecasts based on prediction markets. Portions of that interview were broadcasted on Tuesday, October 13, 2020.

Northwestern Now (October 7, 2020) #

New Presidential Election Forecast Runs Hourly Predictions by Amanda Morris, Northwestern University, updated with forecasts for October 7, October 23, November 2, and November 3, 2020.

Sky News Interview (October 29, 2020) #

Kay Burley of Sky News interviewed Tom Miller five days before the November election.

Fortune Articles from 2020/21 #

Our election forecasting prowess gained recognition in Fortune articles by Shawn Tully. Initially we suggested that prediction markets can provide better forecasts of presidential election outcomes than opinion polls. Then for the Georgia runoff elections, we showed that prediction surveys provided more accurate election forecasts than both opinion polls and prediction markets.

October 19, 2020. Can Trump close the gap and win in November? Here’s what data from betting sites suggests.
October 28, 2020. This data scientist’s model shows Biden is still a 3-to-1 favorite to win—but he’s fading in the home stretch.
January 5, 2021, 5:36 AM PST. Georgia runoffs: A data scientist, using a blend of poll and betting numbers, sees odds favoring the Dems.
January 5, 2021, 1:02 PM PST. Georgia Senate races: Data scientist’s final prediction has Democrats taking both seats.
January 9, 2021. How a data scientist beat the polls by nailing the Georgia senate race.

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