Forecasting Methods

Forecasts for the 2020 Presidential Election #

Tom Miller compares forecasts for the 2020 presidential election:

For the 2020 election, The Virtual Tout® employed a bottom-up approach, updating forecasts every hour across the two months leading up to election day. Each hourly forecast was based on simulating what would happen in state-by-state voting in the Electoral College.

Kay Burley of Sky News interviewed Tom Miller on October 29, 2020, five days before the election. Watch the Interview.

Go to the home page of The Virtual Tout.

Click on the items below to learn more about our forecasting methods. #